Florian Trade Route - Hierate Route
Tobia Commerce Guild
raw data dump
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Another point to think about -- Tobia Commerce Guild currently has 200k dTons of ships. If they are all similar in price to the Galoof, then that is 48585 MCr of assets, plus a monthly profit of 42.2 MCr from the Florian route, and 206.1 MCr from the Aslan route. The TCG is making 3.228 GCr/year profit just on freight fees; if they are speculating as well it is probably higher. If the Duke of Tobia owns 1% (probably more, to be honest) of the TCG, and the TCG pays a 1% per year dividend; then the Duke has personal wealth of more than 486 MCr, and is getting more than 4.86 MCr income per year.
Still, the new ships (four, each at 50000 dTons) are a big investment; fifteen years worth of (today's) profits, although the ships themselves can be expected to generate revenue as well.
Dilettante book has stock at 0.75% dividend returns per month, so the Duke's income from the TCG would be even higher than that.
On the Hierate route the major players deploy 417k to 500k dTons of ships, (between 211947 to 254133 dTons of cargo space). Per month that is 178714 to 214286 dTons of ships; 90834 to 108914 dTons of cargo space; 4541.7 MCr to 5445.7 MCr of goods moved. Per year that is 2323282 to 2785718 dTons of ships; 1175642 to 1415882 dTons of cargo space; 58782.1 MCr to 70794.1 MCr of goods moved.
On the Florian route the major players deploy about 83.4k to 100k dTons pf ships, (between 42389 and 50827 dTons of cargo space). Per month that is 17871.4 to 21428.6 dTons of ships; 9083 to 10891 dTons of cargo space; 1298.93 to MCr 1557.47 MCr of goods moved. Per year that is 232328 to 278571 dTons of ships; 118085 to 141589 dTons of cargo space; 16886.14 to 20247.16 MCr of goods moved.
[Edit: I made a couple minor mistakes and simplifications above; the key one I realized today is the difference between how the TCG has distributed their ships. Scenario One: The TGC exactly splits their tonnage 5:1 between the Hierate and Florian routes -- but there is no evidence this is actually the case; this leads to figuring lower shipping volumes overall throughout the Trojan Reach; Scenario Two: The TGC has only the single (documented) Galoof-class assigned to the Florian route, with the rest of their shipping on the Hierate route; this leads to figuring higher shipping volumes throughout the Trojan Reach. All of my math so far has been based on scenario one; Scenario two has a maximum of 500000 dTons of ships on the Hierate route, and an additional 100000 dTons on the Florian route.
Second, I treated all ship-tonnage as Galoof-tonnage; & it is a pretty bad (15248 dTons of cargo for every 30000 dTons of ship) design. Third, I used the most costly route to set 'what customers pay to haul freight', and the least profitable route for 'how much profit from hauling freight'. I was being pessimistic, and lazy because I didn't want to guess at how many ships were on each route. /]
The Tobia Commerce Guild has just ordered four new 50000 dTon ships, which will double the tonnage of their fleet. Ergo, they have 200000 dTons of ships in service. There is a published encounter in 'Fire on the Sindalian Main' with a TCG Galoof-class (30000 dTons) in Dpres -- that ship is assigned to the Florian route. The TCG has 'more than a third' of the volume of ships on the Hierate route -- which means somewhere between 33.33% and 50%. There is five time more volume of ships on the Hierate route than on the Florian route.
SO: Scenario One -- the TCG exactly splits its' 200000 dton fleet 5:1 between Hierate and Florian trade; and makes up 49.9999999% of all Hierate shipping volume. There are (between all the 'big players' in shipping) 333333 dTons of ships assigned to the Heirate trade routes, and 66667 dTons to the Florian trade routes. Scenario Two -- the TCG only has the one published Galoof assigned to the Florian route, and the rest are assigned to the Hierate routes. TCG makes up 33.33% of all Heirate shipping volume. There are (between all the 'big players' in shipping) 500000 dTons of ships assigned to the Heirate trade routes, and 100000 dTons to the Florian trade routes.
Most of the big cargo liners are going to make three jumps per month to lower costs. The Hierate J-2 route is seven jumps; the Florian J-2 route is fourteen jumps. In any given month, between 333333/7x3 = 143857 dTons and 500000/7*3 = 214286 dTons of ships move along the Hierate route; 66667/14x3 = 14286 dTons to 21429 dTons of ships move along the Florian route.
But that is ships, not cargo. For the 30000 dTon Galoof-class (and we know of at least two in the region), cargo is 15248 dTons. In any given month, approximately 143857/30000*15248 = 73118 dTons to 214286/30000*15248 = 108914 dTons of cargo move along the Hierate route; and apporximately 14286/30000*15248 = 7261 dTons to 21429/30000*15248 = 10892 dTons of cargo move along the Florian route.
The highest value items that the Hierate exports seem to be 50000 Cr/dTon, so it is probably fair to figure that the average value of cargo coming into the Hierate is equal to or less than this value -- [Edit: OR that ships returning from the Hierate are more likely to be carrying currency]. The Florians export stuff which is higher value per dTon, so cargoes on the Florian route will have higher average value.
--- Not sure this belongs here or on the trade route pages
I also should point out that the volumes of trades specified above are for Imperial ships. The Tobia Commerce Guild has 200000 dTons of ships; if shiipping on the Hierate route totaled 500000 dTons of ships, half being Aslan, then the TCG would make up 68% of all Imperial aligned shipping on the route, and that is not implied in the material.
So I believe that the Hierate matches the volume of ships, with the majority (described as 'almost a monopoly') being ships from the 'Company Of Grandmotherly Kindness', and most of the rest being ships from the 'Tyeyo Dust-Spice Importers' and 'Glories Under The Claw'.
On the Florian route, the Florians deploy (a matching amount of) 100000 dTons of ships; these might all (or mostly) be from 'Gli! Fong! Uric! Ka' (known in galanglic as 'Acquisition Of Things Not Us'. There may be a few more Florian companies that trade outside the League, but I have not seen them mentioned.
